AC Milan vs Lecce – The previous match between AC Milan and SSC Napoli in the Champions League ended in a 1-1 tie.
In that game, AC Milan had 26% of the possession and 6 shots, 4 of which were on goal. Olivier Giroud scored for AC Milan in the 43rd second. Napoli, on the other hand, had 23 shots total, with 4 of them finding the net.
SSC Napoli’s goal came in the 93rd minute from Victor Osimhen. Stefano Pioli’s AC Milan have scored 8 goals in their past six games, which equates to an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Lecce hasn’t defeated AC Milan in their last 9 league games, according to their prior performance. Quite a run, in fact. They have not lost at home in their last four league games and have gone the last two league games without a victory.
Lecce and Sampdoria played to a 1-1 draw in their previous meeting in Serie A. Lecce controlled 41% of the game’s possession and made 30 efforts at goal, scoring on 11 of them.
Assan Ceesay (31′) was the lone player for Lecce to register a goal. Two of Sampdoria’s eight attempts at goal were successful. Sampdoria’s Jesé Rodrguez scored in the 75th minute.
The statistics speak for themselves: Lecce have allowed goals in 6 of their last 6 games, and their opponents have scored 9 goals overall. Lecce needs to strengthen some of its defensive flaws.
Lecce has lost all 10 of its league games against AC Milan when they have faced them away from home, according to the form guide going into this match. Not a great record on the road, as they have lost their last three league games when playing away from home.
AC Milan vs Lecce – Betting Analysis
Looking at their most recent head-to-head matchups dating back to January 16, 2011, it can be seen that AC Milan has won 3 of them and Lecce has lost 0, with 3 of the matches ending in draws.
During this time, a lot of goals were also scored, 24 in total, at an average of 4 goals per game. The two teams’ most recent league matchup took place on Serie A Match Day 18 on January 14, 2023, and Lecce defeated AC Milan 2-2.
Lecce had 36% of the possession at that point, and they made 17 efforts at goal, scoring on three of them. Federico Baschirotto (23′) was their lone scorer.
12 of AC Milan’s shots on goal were on target in 5. Rafael Leo (58′), Theo Hernández (3′ Own Goal), and Davide Calabria (70′) all scored. Daniele Orsato served as the referee.
There aren’t many personnel concerns, and AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli just has one player’s fitness to worry about out of a nearly fully healthy group of players. Zlatan Ibrahimovi is no longer in the running due to muscular issues. Due to his ban, Davide Calabria is ineligible to play in this game.
Mike Maignan, Alessandro Florenzi, Pierre Kalulu, Malick Thiaw, Fodé Ballo, Aster Vranckx, Tommaso Pobega, Alexis Saelemaekers, Charles De Ketelaere, Ante Rebic, and Divock Origi appear to be the likely starters for the Rossoneri in a 4-2-3-1 system.
The majority of the team is healthy; thus, Lecce manager Marco Baroni just needs to worry about one fitness issue. The ankle surgeon Marin Pongracic won’t be participating.
With Wladimiro Falcone, Valentin Gendrey, Federico Baschirotto, Samuel Umtiti, Antonino Gallo, Alexis Blin, Morten Hjulmand, Rémi Oudin, F. Di Francesco, Assan Ceesay, and Gabriel Strefezza as their starting lineup, we predict that the Giallorossi will play in a 4-3-3 system.
We believe that AC Milan will most likely control the majority of the possession and be able to score on a handful of their chances. Lecce, though, may have trouble finding the back of the goal themselves, but we do believe that they will hit back at some point.
What are the best odds for this match?
Turning to the betting odds on the win-draw-win market, staking on AC Milan is best priced at 1.52, a wager on the game finishing all-square is 4.12 and selecting the win for Lecce can be had at 6.7. They’re the best market prices available as of now.
AC Milan vs Lecce – Head -to- Head
Our Prediction: Home Win
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