Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich

GERMANY: Bundesliga

Date: Saturday, 17 April 2021

Kick-off at 14:30 UK/ 15:30 CET

Venue: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Following a 4-3 defeat to Frankfurt (Apr 10), only a win for Wolfsburg here can realistically maintain their very remote hopes of a first Bundesliga title since 2009. Despite the defeat at Deutsche Bank Park, it was Die Wolfe’s second game in three to see them open the scoring inside the first ten minutes, and their third in four to see the opposition suffer an own-goal.

Wolfsburg currently sit on a run of 13 Bundesliga home matches without defeat (W9, D4), thanks partly to them recovering points after conceding first in three (W2, D1) of the five games that saw goals both ways. However, with five ‘HT/FT double’ defeats in their last ten Bundesliga H2Hs vs Bayern Munich (D1, L9), that run seems likely to end here.

Bayern entered the new week just five points clear at the top with 18 still available to every title contender, after they were held to a poor 1-1 draw at home to 2020/21 surprise package Union Berlin (Apr 10). That result came after five straight league wins for Bayern, the last four of which saw them score at least 50% of their match goals before the interval.

The last of those five wins above (1-0 vs RB Leipzig) saw the winner come late in the first half (38’), meaning that Bayern have scored at least once between the 31st minute and HT in 14 of their last 16 away league victories. It is this type of ruthless consistency that has helped Bayern lead at HT in each of their last nine clean-sheet away league wins.

Players to watch: Josip Brekalo scored decisively in Wolfsburg’s last home game for a 1-0 win, making four of his last six goals decisive openers. Also in the spotlight lately, Jamal Musiala scored the opener for Bayern against Union. Including junior-level strikes, his three prior away goals for ‘Die Roten’ have specifically changed the scoreline to 2-0.

Recent Stats:

  • Wolfsburg’s form in last 5 matches: LWWWL.
  • Bayern Munich’s form in last 5 matches: DLWWW.

PREDICTION: BTTS