ENGLAND: Premier League
Date: Friday, 14 May 2021
Kick-off at 21:00 UK/ 21:00 CET
Venue: St. James’ Park (Newcastle)
With their Premier League (PL) safety now assured, Newcastle United have found form at a good time, having won as many points in their last five games (W3, D1, L1) as they had in the 15 prior (W2, D4, L9)! Interestingly, they’re finishing strongly despite conceding an average of 1.86 goals per game across their last seven matches (W3, D2, L2).
Late goals have driven their resurgence, as the ‘Magpies’ completed the scoring in or after the 80th minute in three of their last four PL home matches (W1, D2, L1). However, despite also doing so in each of the last two league H2Hs here, they’ve only won one of the last 12 PL meetings they’ve hosted (D3, L8).
Saturday’s defeat to Chelsea was Manchester City’s second loss in four league fixtures (W2), but the Champions League finalists clinched a fifth PL title without kicking a ball in midweek, and they’ll expect to kickstart their celebrations with a win here. Although their missed penalty against the Londoners was a league-high fourth of the season, they remain a dead-ball threat having netted 17 league set-piece goals (including penalties) this term.
Hoping to extend their own record of 11 consecutive PL away wins, Man City have scored 2+ goals in nine of their last ten league road games, also netting between the 35th and 60th minute in each of the last four. Often camped in the opposition’s half late on, no team has conceded fewer second-half corners on the road than them this term (1.41 per game on average).
Players to watch: Newcastle’s Joe Willock has scored three goals in five PL home appearances, the last two coming after the 80th minute. Also a threat as games progress, Sergio Agüero’s last three competitive goals for Man City arrived between the 55th and 80th minute.
- Newcastle’s form in last 5 matches: WLDWW.
- Manchester City’s form in last 5 matches: LWWWW.
PREDICTION: Away Win