ITALY: Serie A

Date: Sunday, 18 April 2021

Kick-off at 20:45 UK/ 20:45 CET

Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Napoli got back on track with their pursuit of a Serie A (SA) top-four place with a 2-0 victory at Sampdoria last time out, and have won six of their last eight SA matches (D1, L1). Curiously, six of those fixtures produced the same HT/FT result, which has also been the case in 63.33% of their top-flight outings this season, and four of the last six competitive H2Hs (W2, D1, L3).

If Napoli are going to stop the runaway league leaders, it will be here at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium where they have won nine of their last ten competitive matches (D1). They’ve also registered a joint-league high nine HT/FT home victories, and have even won both halves in four of their last six top-flight games here.

An astonishing 11 consecutive SA victories has given Internazionale an 11-point cushion at the top ahead of this round, as they steamroll towards their first “Scudetto” since 2010. They’re creeping closer to their club record of 17 consecutive SA victories too, but only need 13 points to mathematically secure the title with eight rounds remaining.

Inter have also won five straight SA matches on the road – each after netting the opener – for the first time since November 2019. Furthemore, the visitors have won a league-high four away games that stood level at HT, so a draw after the opening 45 minutes isn’t likely to bother them – albeit that’s happened just once across the last five SA H2Hs held here.

Players to watch: Napoli’s Victor Osimhen has netted in three of his last four starts for club and country, scoring twice within the opening 30 minutes. Inter defender Matteo Darmian prefers to strike later, and has scored both of his SA goals beyond the hour mark – including the only goal last time out.

Recent Stats:

  • Napoli’s form in last 5 matches: WLWWW.
  • Inter’s form in last 5 matches: WWWWW.

PREDICTION: BTTS

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