ENGLAND: Premier League
Date: Friday, 07 May 2021
Kick-off at 21:00 UK/ 21:00 CET
Venue: King Power Stadium (Leicester)
Third-placed Leicester require eight points from four games to guarantee their second-ever Champions League qualification. The ‘Foxes’ have actually rescued points in each of their last two Premier League (PL) games after conceding first and only Manchester United have picked up more points than Leicester’s 19 from losing positions this season. With just Leeds witnessing more than the 100 PL goals seen in Leicester’s matches this season, entertainment could be on the cards again here.
Leicester’s relatively poor home form has seen them drop points in 47.06% of games amid a joint-league low one home draw (W9, D1, L7). Fortunately for manager Brendan Rodgers, his side have a strong home league record against the division’s bottom eight sides, beating a -1 handicap on five occasions (W6, L1).
Despite indifferent recent form (W2, D5, L2), Newcastle are now within touching distance of safety, requiring four more points to guarantee survival. Boss Steve Bruce is yet to beat a current top four PL side though, having conceded two or more goals in all six such fixtures this season. Furthermore, 29 of Newcastle’s 34 PL games have seen the opposition score.
Only two sides have picked up fewer points than Newcastle on their travels this campaign (W4, D4, L9). Goalscoring has been a major factor, with only Sheffield netting less than the ‘Magpies’ 14 away goals, with just two (14.29%) coming in the opening period. What’s more, away league losses have been heavy, with eight of their nine defeats seeing them fail to defend a +1 handicap.
Players to watch: Leicester’s Kelechi Iheanacho has scored ten goals in his last 13 PL games, none of which arrived in the first 15 minutes of either half. In opposition, Callum Wilson has netted all ten of his PL goals after the break.
- Leicester’s form in last 5 matches: DWWWL.
- Newcastle’s form in last 5 matches: LDWWD.
PREDICTION: Home/Draw and Over 1.5