ITALY: Serie A

Date: Tuesday, 18 May 2021

Kick-off at 20:30 UK/ 20:30 CET

Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Lazio are now guaranteed to finish sixth this Serie A (SA) campaign. Any hopes of winning four straight SA H2Hs for the first time ever could depend on scoring first (W20, D2, L1). Amplifying the importance of the ‘first goal’, nearly half (15) of their 32 win/loss results have seen the winner on the day secure a clean sheet.

The hosts have scored first in their last eight SA home games, as part of a club-record 12 straight such wins, half of which came ‘to nil’. Further to the importance of a strong start, five of Lazio’s last seven SA home games have each seen a matching HT/FT result on the day.

Torino are the league’s stalemate specialists with a 38.89% draw rate, and need just a point. Failing that, they risk making their last league match against Benevento a relegation decider. Worryingly, with just one win across five SA games (W1, D1, L3), Torino have lost form at the wrong time, conceding 11 goals (of 68) in their last two consecutive defeats.

Furthermore, the visitors have won only one of their last 16 SA away H2Hs vs Lazio (W1, D8, L7). Torino have also lost a joint-league high two of the five SA away matches they led at HT (W2, D1, L2), but with only three of their last ten SA away strikes arriving before HT, that is one record which looks safe!

Players to watch: Like his lone strike in the reverse H2H, three of Ciro Immobile’s last five SA goals have come beyond the 80th minute. Conversely, Torino’s talisman Andrea Belotti has struck four of his last eight SA goals (including the reverse fixture strike) before the 60th minute.

Recent Stats:

  • Lazio’s form in last 5 matches: WLWWL.
  • Torino’s form in last 5 matches: LDWLD.

PREDICTION: Home/Draw

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